I will be shocked if the Dem establishment doesn’t run Newsom and do their damndest to ratfuck AOC like they did with Bernie.
Sure, there’s a lot of time between now and a theoretical 2028 presidential cycle…
But I have learned to set expectations pessimistically and be surprised in the optimism direction, not the other way around.
Whelp, thats a whoosh moment for me than lol.
But it does seem like some other people appreciated the info :P
To clarify:
Though the group currently calling itself Anonymous that just published all this … derives the aesthetics and what not from stuff that arose on 4chan in the mid/late 00s…
They almost certainly have nothing to do with 4chan going down.
4chan was taken down by a group of people that used to post on a 4chan subboard, which was removed… and then they started their own community ‘Soyjack Party’.
Which, ironically, is a very similar story as to why 4chan even exists: m00t used to post hentai and loli on SomethingAwful, and then that subboard got shut down, m00t and other frequent posters there got banned, and then they made 4chan.
Like… I stopped using 4chan almost two decades ago now, when m00t made a big announcement post, which later disappeared, stating that as a result of increased media scrutiny and a number of high profile crimes that were connected back to 4chan posts… well m00t said that he was cooperating with the authorities.
I can’t prove this, because … two decades ago, and the announcement was only up for … less than 24hrs… but yeah, as the SoyJack Party hack of 4chan has confirmed, it was obvious that 4chan was/is a shitshow joke of an operation held together by ducttape and fishing lines.
For fucks sake, their versions of PHP and MySQL were like 12 years out of date and had numerous, extensively well documented security flaws.
You are thinking of this:
Fellow autist here, here’s my funniest Elon moment:
The cybertruck reveal, softball pitch into the window.
Musk audibly gasps and says ‘O-oh myfuckinggod.’
Comedy gold.
That moment, right there, that was the high water mark.
Then, the window cracks, and shortly afterward, his entire general public facade and reputation begin to crack and shattet as well.
I do appreciate a visual metaphor.
Well, the ‘listening to their constituents’ thing certainly hasn’t been going well lately… what with all the screaming matches, arrests, barely contained open revolts and what not.
They just kinda said those were all fake news and then stopped doing them.
I get that.
What… would actually make much more sense would be to index the minimum wage to some other, per state metric.
A fraction of median income, some formula that actually does a good job of estimating a minimum standard of living…
But, that will never happen, because … well basically half of voters and half state legislatures fundamentally either do not understand how to, or believe in laying a foundational safety net layer for society.
The income and CoL disparities within the US are… basically as wild as the differences between EU member states, but our governance systems are… well, pretty much fundamentally broken at this point.
More than that would create private business deserts in poor areas, forcing the locals to exclusively patronize corporations. More of the population would need social program assistance to help pay for the increased cost of our domestic food supply.
… If we’re talking about Arkansas… all of that has already happened.
You know Walmart is… from, and based in Arkansas, right?
20 ish % of the population is already below the poverty line… and the poverty line is basically ‘lets assume you have no rent and are homeless and just want to be able to buy food’.
That means 20% of the state is already getting SSI, SNAP, TANF, etc.
…
The US Federal poverty line is about $35 dollars a day. about $13k a year.
If you converted that to a full time wage, thats about $6.75 an hour.
The US Federal minimum wage is $7.25 an hour.
50 cents of difference.
Hasn’t changed since 2009.
From 2009 to 2025, if you go by CPI, a single 2009 dollar is worth about $1.50 2025 dollars, that is to say, prices have risen by 50% in 16 years.
…
Arkansas is literally an economic disaster zone.
41% of the state struggles with getting their basic needs met, multiple independent observers and international aid agencies have compared the level of poverty, lack of education, access to healthcare… to areas of the world recently devastated by wars.
You say the cost of living is 36-37k.
That must be for a single person.
As of Nov 24, the median individual income in Arkansas is $29,740.
That makes the median wage about $15.50 an hour.
The median individual income in Arkansas cannot afford the average cost of living for a single person.
Arkansas is already the state equivalent of a mentally unsound person being deemed incompitent to make their own decisions and be declared a ward of the state.
Bumping up the min wage would be more like doubling the care and support staff for the assisted living facility that is Arkansas, already massively dependent on Federal subsidies to the poor… and the laughably tiny tax rates on giant megacorps that allow said megacorps to dominate its economy.
…
If you want to see what unchecked hypercapitalism looks like, you’re looking at Arkansas.
Median one bed apartment rent, across the entire US, is $1550 as of Feb 2025.
Lets knock 20% of that off, to approximate a median studio apartment instead, give some leeway to poorer parts of the country.
(there are not as good or reliable general stats counted for studio apartments, but a studio being 20% less than a one bed is… hopefully a reasonable, napkin math aporoximation)
Ok, that’s $1240.
Alright, now we use the ‘rent should be 30% of your income’ rule.
Thats $4135 a month, rounded up very slightly to the nearest 5.
Ok, 40 hours a week, roughly 4 weeks a month = 160 hours.
4135 / 160 = $25.85, again rounded up to the closet 5 cents for simplicity, so thats your actual minimum ‘living wage’.
If you wanna say a studio should be 30% off a one bedroom?
Math works out to roughly $22.60
If you wanna say an actual one bedroom should be the standard, works out to about $32.60
Any way you look at this, $17 an hour is too low, that’s still… you can’t even afford a studio (as in, you cannot pass the rent to income threshold without a cosigner or double deposit or somethingnon your lease) you need roommates, you’re still living with your parents.
Numbers 5:11 to 5:31 uh, fairly clearly explains that if a woman is suspected to be pregnant by ‘not her husband’, she is to undergo a ritual and drink a potion which will cause an abortion/miscarriage.
https://biblia.com/bible/esv/numbers/5/11-31
ESV uses a … too literal translation to result into ‘her thigh will fall away’…
https://biblia.com/bible/niv2011/numbers/5/11-31
But the NIV translators are capable of understanding context dependent modifiers and just directly uses ‘miscarry’.
https://biblia.com/bible/nlt/numbers/5/11-31
NLT ends up with ‘womb will shrivel/shrink’.
https://biblia.com/bible/nkjv/numbers/5/11-31
NKJ also goes for a very, word by word literal approach (what a surprise) and says ‘thigh will rot’.
…
So yeah, there you go, anytime you run into a bible thumper who proclaims that the ten commandments are the basis of western civilization, show them that the old testament also very clearly and explicitly … not just condones, but mandates abortion in certain circumstances.
If they then say that we are under the new covenant, throw this at them:
https://biblehub.com/matthew/5-18.htm
Matthew 5:18
Jesus, the man himself, says to follow the Law (ie, the old testament, or at the very least the first 5 books, the torah, which includes the entire book of numbers) exactly, precisely, to the letter, to the ‘jot and tittle’.
… Oh but also the Bible is inerrant and never contradicts itself, which must mean the old and new covenant have perfect agreement and never contradict, and are therefore identical, right?
Roll the dice huh?
You know, I’m actually really into TTRPGs… and I actually keep my a few of my dice on me as a sort of silly good luck charm, here, lemme show you!
rolls for initiative in my own mind
reaches into jacket, draws concealed pistol
Ok whew, we are truly almost back to the 1890’s, Trumpublicans apparently favored era of America.
19th Ammendment was passed back in… 1920.
Basically this undoes women’s suffrage, so married women either just can’t vote, or will face massive uneccesarry hurdles voting.
And of course transfolk as well, they’re now pretty much formerly formally (ducking autocorrect) disenfranchised.
I wonder, do we have bootleggers (smugglers) for abortifacients, birth control, horomone therapy drugs yet?
I guess that’ll be the ‘growth market’.
Oh goodie, thats wonderful news for the 401k havers, rofl.
I believe you.
… so we now have fractal, simultaneously compounding and also decohering layers of irony.
The irony factor now has an imaginary, unreal component rofl.
Oh lord.
Ah, ok, I appreciate the correction!
Doing my best trying to remember my course work from almost two decades ago, looks like I missed an important detail.
… and that detail makes the situation… even worse, wonderful.
Hey.
HEY!
There are a lot of penguins on some godforsaken island in the middle of nowhere that need to be bombed until they understand democracy and freedom.
(‘freedom’ and ‘democracy’ subject to terms and conditions, limited time offer, no refunds)
No disagreements, no notes.
We (USians) are completely cooked, totally fucked.
We’d have to erect a new government, and then actually demonstrate stability for a decade or two… to begin to be able to undo Trump’s damage, to be treated as anything other than basically a rogue nation that also has the world’s… either the first or second largest/most powerful military.
I can only hope some more civilized places may begin to more seriously consider Americans seeking asylum… though I of course completely understand why they wouldn’t.
It doesn’t come off as snarky at all, no worries!
Genuienly… Like, I myself am autistic, and I’m willing to bet a whole lot of other data scientist type technical data sets type careerists either are as well, or are close.
What I’m trying to say is: It is genuienly difficult to be both well versed enough in the math and data… and at the same time have the requisite communication skills to present a whole lot of complex data in a way that people with less expertise can understand easily… while also at the same time not over generalizing so much that you are actually giving a just flat out false description or misleading metaphor.
I appreciate your summary of what I wrote in the last post.
It is not a measure of public sentiment.
That’d be like a consumer confidence measure, something that just polls the general public.
The fear and greed index is based off of technical measurements of various active markets.
Very broadly, it is telling you whether or not the financial class, investors, stock traders, corporations significantly involved in that, your 401k managers… are acting fearful or greedy.
A middling score close to 50 basically represents ‘reasonable, stable growth’.
Extreme fear means market participants are acting like a significant stock/bond downturn either is occuring or about to occur.
Extreme greed means market participants are acting like a huge upswing in stocks and bonds are occuring and will be maintained in the future.
You’re right that extreme greed isn’t a good thing, as it usually means a whole bunch of irresponsible financial bets are being made, that will later pop, and crash.
At the same time, extreme fear is also bad… because it basically is that crash occuring.
Maybe think of it kind of like some value you get back from your blood work.
There’s a generally accepted ‘average’ value that means you are stable, healthy.
Then, there is a range of higher and lower values that are… relatively normal, within reasonable, expected variations.
Then, there are extreme values, way outside the acceptable range, either way too high or way to low, and now its time for your doctor to start looking at treatment options.
Good info, but dear god what is this fever dream nonsense clipart/facebook boomer graphic?