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Joined 18 days ago
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Cake day: January 24th, 2025

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  • I also don’t think it’s hindsight.

    Many people said many many things, so by the rule of large numbers, someone’s prediction will pan out but it doesn’t necessarily mean they have a superior grasp of the underlying causes or that their next predictions will be correct again.

    And at this point I think a civil war is the only way to resolve things. Nation states will not survive the invention of the internet.

    I suspect you are correct about the eventuality of a civil war, but I do hope the revolution can be pulled off without bloodshed. Like through migration to decentralized networks.


  • the solution isn’t to frame it as rural vs urban, but left vs right.

    I’d say the distinction is justified by the very quantifiable and objective data to support it from many countries and elections. It’s also by design, as rural people’s emotions will be much better controlled by xenophobia in its most literal sense. Also rural people have much smaller networks and thus much more controllable information consumption. This is what right wing conservatives have been banking on.

    Republicans will never turn out to vote for a democrat no matter how bad their candidate is. Reaching out to them, wherever they live, is a waste of time.

    I entirely agree with this, but it’s also hindsight is 20/20. I don’t think it was an insane idea to run on the idea of cooperation and consistency vs. the chaos of trumpism to convince the “normal conservatives”. Harris’ campaign was highly risk-averse, but again the theme was consistent, vote for us and we won’t fuck shit up like trump would. What the past two general elections showed is that anger appears to be the primary winning force. GOP strategy pounding on grocery pricing was the perfect method, people pay for groceries multiple times a week, so you can remind them how angry they are every time even when Americans’ primary issue (relative to other western nations) are housing and healthcare and the lack of social safety net, whereas Americans have bad diets but don’t starve.

    That said if we keep anger to be the driver of elections, it’s only a matter of time to end up with a civil war.



  • My point is that considering how complicated the situation was where incumbent parties were massacred globally, Harris didn’t run a shitty campaign. She made some bold decisions that didn’t pan out. For example, she attempted to bridge the rural vs. urban divide by picking Walz, something that is quite ubiquitous to other modern authoritarian systems such as Türkiye or Hungary. What I would conclude is, rural votes are forever lost to the far right, and trying to appeal to rural voters will not be a viable future approach. Simply saying she did a shit job is not very constructive, and frankly quite unfair.