“The future ain’t what it used to be.”

-Yogi Berra

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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 29th, 2023

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  • Well, for the terminally online, the knee has already jerked. And in their defense, once bit, twice shy.

    That being said, the number of terminally online Mainers for whom the oppo was a deal breaker probably can fit in a swimming pool.

    And there are two things happening at once in this story. One is, the primary thread of the oppo; Platner did post those things, Platner did have a tattoo.

    The second thing is the oppo release, its source, Mills, Schumer, and the act of Mainers being told who to like and whom to vote for. And at least in last weeks polling this seemed to be the case. So who does the oppo work on? Early polling seems to be showing that the timing of Mills announcement and the research being release/ coming from some of the least popular standing groups (specifically, corporate Democrats).

    So it looks like the oppo was supposed to work on the more progressive types (and clearly, has been, I mean, look around), and that while thats been effective, Mainers dont care/ dont like being told who to like. This oppo dump may actually end up working against those who sourced it (corporate Dems). We need the polling pudding to thicken up a bit, but should know more when polling comes out this week (weds/ thurs/ fri).




  • it was a pretty damn good and powerful speech.

    but also, these events are the least of things politically. they don’t really tell you anything new. It felt like a bit of a victory lap.

    It’s pretty clear Cuomo has not a snowballs chance in hell and also with turnout so far this is going to be a kind of stunning defeat that won’t be forgotten any time soon.

    I expect plenty to say things along the line of “but that’s new york” when it comes to replicating the plays we saw here, and sure there is some of that.

    yet to see what this does for other insurgents. polling this week will show if Platner, who is taking the same tack, takes a haircut from tattoo gate. Then you have Abugazalla, fatah, Ruwa romman, many others watching how this unfolded very closely.

    the playbook is straight word. Identify a small set of straightforward, understandable issue (rent, transportation, cost of food). Laser focus on them. Stay focused as the hits come.

    the outcome of tattoo gate will also be a bit telling. If Platner shakes it off and continues to surge. he was still +30 in polling which was conducted last week after the scandal erupted. it’s clear that some people in Maine see this as obviously coming from DNC leadership in Schumer’s attempt to tip the scales towards a corporatist. My intuition is that more than anything, Mainers hate the idea that Washington gets to pick their candidate for them, so I think the oppo will have backfired. Schumer might actually be one of the least popular politicians of all time and is a poison pill.










  • Like explain how doubling down on the consolidation of executive power mitigates the rise of fascism?

    Jfc you are not only insufferable with a utterly terrible political read, you also lack reading comprehension.

    I’m not making a judgement about the consolidation of executive power: I’m accepting where things actually are instead of the fantastic world you wish existed. The fact is the US government in the previous 20 years has transformed such that there is an exceptional consolidation of power in the executive. That simply is.

    Then you try and misrepresent it as advocacy.

    AND THIS is why I approach these conversations these ways, because it gets you to put yourself on display. You’ve got nothing when it comes to the merits and when your bag of tricks trying to fool people is empty, you go back to personal attacks.

    Its exactly why people need to dismiss you.



  • I think spending a decade restoring the balance between the executive and other branches is the best path forward.

    Yes, because you have a terrible read of politics and this political moment. Your view is an anachronism and its incredibly important that people learn to ignore and dismiss views like yours. Its this exact kind of trepidation that leads to candidates like Hillary 16, Biden 24, Schumer, Jeffries: Its a failed approach to electoralism, and while it was the dominant paradigm for several decades (77-2008), its now a knife that cuts against a party or candidates or political movements ability to win.

    And, the most important thing we can be doing right now is shuttting down people who approach politics from this angle. They are incredibly dangerous to the ability for the Democratic party to win. They get to split the difference between “caution” which always comes across as being more reflective, yet never having to show the receipts for their approach.

    Digging past your terrible communication style…

    I can tell you this, that its not on accident, and if you want to have a conversation on the effectiveness of approach we can, but I consider it an aside to this current topic. I consider your approach to be the most significantly harmful thing to American politics, in existence, after it handed the presidency to Trump in 2016. Trump and other fascists are some of the most beatable candidates in the history of elections, but this anachronistic perspective, its literally the only thing they can beat. So its not just a matter of how well discourse follows the polities of the past; its that an approach to politics which continues to fuel fascism is incredibly dangerous, and needs to be pushed back on with the most extreme dialectic possible. Gloves are off.

    You don’t know Pritzker so you obviously only have a superficial understanding of the political landscape (genuinely surprising because he’s in the news constantly right now). Its also clear that you are operating under an understanding of politics and electorism that loses elections. Its a species level threat to continue operating under that perspective. Expect incredible push-back when your viewpoint inadvertently sponsors fascism.

    To the matter at hand:

    I think spending a decade restoring the balance between the executive and other branches is the best path forward.

    You seem to have the perspective that given the consolidation of executive branch power the path forward is to use that immediately to affect change.

    I think spending a decade restoring the balance between the executive and other branches is the best path forward.

    You don’t/ won’t have the time. You are talking about a kind of long-term political project that takes decades. And the powers that be which you are advocating for, have already had decades to do so and have done nothing. So your argument is effectively the same as every other liberal, which is “use the system, trust the process, give it time”. However, it is now clear that time is working against us. And this is an example of the exact kind of anachronism I’m talking about. Its an assumption about mechanisms and abilities a party might have had in the US system 30-40 years ago, but which simply isn’t present in the current moment.

    You seem to have the perspective that given the consolidation of executive branch power the path forward is to use that immediately to affect change.

    No I’m acknowledging the reality of the political moment and the total restructuring of power which happened from 2000- now. The fact is that both the judiciary and the legislative have handed the executive basically unlimited power. There is no power in the senate or the house at this point. You want to make changes? You need the executive and not much more.