Zelensky says Washington is tying security guarantees to Ukraine withdrawing from Donbas, warning such a move would undermine both Ukraine and Europe’s security.
Edvard Beneš surrendered the sudetenland to Hitler which was uncontitutional. The point is if Ukraine can’t win against Russia he would be forced regardless
I could convince myself that the conventional wisdom has shifted in recent years. Ukraine’s drone warfare expertise and domestic military production is now strategically critical to all its allies, who know that they won’t be able to buy from China in the increasingly plausible event of them going to war.
Now it’s not just the food production, which is also going to be critical due to a likely food price crisis coming down the pipe due to fertilizer not getting through Hormuz. The world is rearming and economically destabilising at the same time, and Ukraine is a source of world beating drones and highly productive soil. The US needs Ukraine more than it admits, as does the EU, who wants to bring them closer as soon as it can. It’s far from a one-sided relationship.
Further, will Russia actually beat Ukraine? If they wanted to, they would have been wise to do so by now. We’ve seen them turn their entire economy into a wartime one (maybe irreversibly given the brain drain and demographic collapse they’ve created in recent decades) and mobilise an international human trafficking ring to dragoon young men from poorer countries into front line combat. Yet all Russia will use them for is meat wave tactics. They don’t actually want to win, they want to keep the war going for as long as possible because their entire economy depends on it.
That’s my read on the situation, anyhow. It’s gone beyond simply “who can win”. Ukraine has already faced ethnic cleansing and they can’t afford to lose. Neither can its allies afford to lose Ukraine as a strategic ally and trading partner. And worst of all, Russia can’t afford peace. If Ukraine fell, they’d just attack the Baltics or someplace else. Bleak beyond belief.
Edvard Beneš surrendered the sudetenland to Hitler which was uncontitutional. The point is if Ukraine can’t win against Russia he would be forced regardless
I could convince myself that the conventional wisdom has shifted in recent years. Ukraine’s drone warfare expertise and domestic military production is now strategically critical to all its allies, who know that they won’t be able to buy from China in the increasingly plausible event of them going to war.
Now it’s not just the food production, which is also going to be critical due to a likely food price crisis coming down the pipe due to fertilizer not getting through Hormuz. The world is rearming and economically destabilising at the same time, and Ukraine is a source of world beating drones and highly productive soil. The US needs Ukraine more than it admits, as does the EU, who wants to bring them closer as soon as it can. It’s far from a one-sided relationship.
Further, will Russia actually beat Ukraine? If they wanted to, they would have been wise to do so by now. We’ve seen them turn their entire economy into a wartime one (maybe irreversibly given the brain drain and demographic collapse they’ve created in recent decades) and mobilise an international human trafficking ring to dragoon young men from poorer countries into front line combat. Yet all Russia will use them for is meat wave tactics. They don’t actually want to win, they want to keep the war going for as long as possible because their entire economy depends on it.
That’s my read on the situation, anyhow. It’s gone beyond simply “who can win”. Ukraine has already faced ethnic cleansing and they can’t afford to lose. Neither can its allies afford to lose Ukraine as a strategic ally and trading partner. And worst of all, Russia can’t afford peace. If Ukraine fell, they’d just attack the Baltics or someplace else. Bleak beyond belief.
I used the word if for a reason
Well now I feel like an asshole 🤣