President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff regime is already reshaping global trade and spiking government customs revenue. But these historic import taxes could also push more Americans into poverty, according to new research.

An analysis published by The Budget Lab at Yale on Tuesday finds Trump’s tariff hikes will likely increase the number of Americans living in poverty by 875,000 in 2026. This increase includes an additional 375,000 children in poverty.

    • Psythik@lemmy.world
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      2 hours ago

      No shit. Tell me about it. We easily have 100m+ in poverty currently; I could see that number doubling.

    • cmbabul@lemmy.world
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      3 hours ago

      Even low balling it that seems like a delusional estimate. I’m in an extremely secure postion and I’m still pretty worried because I’m also burned the fuck out and a really recent hire

    • CmdrShepard49@sh.itjust.works
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      12 hours ago

      They’ve been doing that for years by keeping the poverty line all but fixed at a certain income level while inflation makes everything more expensive with each passing year.

  • Chainweasel@lemmy.world
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    15 hours ago

    1 million is a faction of what the reality will be. There are roughly 320 million people, 1 million people is about 0.003% of the population.
    As of late 2024 it was estimated that between 57% and 73% of people were living paycheck to paycheck.
    Let’s go with 57% and cut it roughly in half to be conservative and go with 28% of people being one missed paycheck away from losing everything.
    28% of 320 million is about 90 million.

    That “1 million” estimate is off by several orders of magnitude on the low end.

    • zergtoshi@lemmy.world
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      14 hours ago

      1 million is a faction of what the reality will be. There are roughly 320 million people, 1 million people is about 0.003% of the population.

      It’s more like 0.3%, but I fear your assessment regarding the estimate being off will become reality.

        • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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          6 hours ago

          You said 1/320 = .003125. Then said that as a per-cent meaning per 100 which means /100

          Aka .3125 per 100 is .003125 The decimal shifts 2 to the left.

          Our language has a lot of clues people forget about when doing math.

          What is a cent, a penny. 100 [per]cents = $1 Many people I know forget how many quarts are in a gallon. Quart[er], 1/4… 4 in a dollar, 4 in a gallon I always love when I can find stupid things that help me remember how to navigate our stupid measurements.

          Beer: 1 barrel, 1/2 keg is a standard, 1/4 or 1/6 is a pony keg… Why, fuck if I know

    • theUwUhugger@lemmy.world
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      16 hours ago

      They are painfully aware that modern economies are based on consumption

      Alas,the us is not a democracy so there is absolutely no drawn on not even pretending to serve public interest

  • LemUser@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    My church food pantry used to serve about 200 families a month. This past year we have risen to over 900 families per month. We used to service three counties but reduced it down to one and we have reduced our days from five to three days per week. We can’t get enough food and regularly run out. The only plus is that my community is primarily MAGA and they got what they voted for.

  • Kyrgizion@lemmy.world
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    16 hours ago

    1 mill is a very conservative estimate in this regard. I expect it to be orders of magnitude worse.

    • AA5B@lemmy.world
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      11 hours ago

      Once people get desperate enough, they’ll be willing to work in the fields in the hot sun all day with no breaks, no shade, no water. The farmers will be happy with a new source of exploitable labor: win-win

  • Yerbouti@sh.itjust.works
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    13 hours ago

    I think the oligarchy has found a solution to climate crisis. They will try to wipe out 70% + of earth’s population. With AI and automation, they just need a couple of slaves and some people for entertainment, like kids for the pedophile president and his friends, and not much more.

  • Formfiller@lemmy.world
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    14 hours ago

    Pair that with the BBB cuts to healthcare and the Great Depression brewing as a red of all these bad decisions and we may all find ourselves homeless